Conflict Analysis Dashboard (Official Users)

Conflict Dynamics: Escalation & De-escalation

Detailed elements of conflict stages, causes, and processes will be presented here.

Underlying Factors Analysis

Analysis of structural violence, cultural violence, rumor propagation, and other contributing activities in the context of direct violence incidents.

Conflict Triangle Model (Afghanistan Example)

The Conflict Triangle (Attitudes, Behavior, Contradiction/Context) helps analyze the core components of a conflict. For the Afghanistan conflict (data from 2001-2024):

Conflict Tree Model (Afghanistan Example)

The Conflict Tree model helps visualize the core problem (trunk), its causes (roots), and its effects (branches/leaves). For the Afghanistan conflict (data from 2001-2024):

• Core Problem (Trunk): Protracted instability and lack of sustainable, inclusive peace in Afghanistan throughout the 2001-2024 period.
• Causes (Roots): Political fragmentation, historically weak central governance, multiple foreign interventions and their consequences, persistent economic hardship and reliance on aid/illicit economies, rise and resilience of extremist ideologies, deep ethnic and tribal divisions, effects of decades of prior conflicts.
• Effects (Branches/Leaves): Significant civilian casualties and displacement (intensity peaks reflect this), ongoing humanitarian crisis, periods of regional instability, emergence/re-emergence of various armed groups (Taliban, ISIS-K), severe human rights violations (especially post-2021), economic collapse, and loss of human capital (brain drain).

Other Conflict Analysis Models

Other models can provide further insights into the Afghanistan conflict (2001-2024):

• Needs-Fears Mapping: Could explore the basic human needs (security, identity, recognition, subsistence) and fears of different groups (Taliban, various ethnic communities, women, former government supporters) at different stages (e.g., during high 'Intensity' vs. 'Negotiation' stages).
• Multi-Level Mapping (Lederach's Pyramid): Analyzing the conflict at grassroots, mid-level, and top-level leadership, and how interventions or events (like the 2020 peace agreement or 2021 Taliban takeover) impacted each level.
• Stages of Conflict: The provided 'Stage' data (Difference, Contradiction, Polarization, Violence, Negotiation, Agreement, Normalization, Reconciliation) directly maps to this model, illustrating the conflict's dynamic nature over time.